OBAMA INCHES CLOSER, WHILE MCCAIN LEADS ELECTORAL VOTE
With a strong victory in Oregon, despite an even stronger victory in Kentucky by Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama has now narrowed the gap for the Democrat nomination to less than 100 delegates. After yet another Super Tuesday for the Dems Barack Obama has 1953 pledged and Super Delegates compared to Hillary Clinton's 1770. 2026 are needed for the nomination which puts Obama only 73 away while Clinton has a sizable 255.
Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota are the only remaining Primary States but Hillary is still banking on the meeting taking place on May 31 when the DNC will decide the fate of the Florida and Michigan delegations and whether they will be seated at the Convention. She gave no indication that she has any intention of bowing out any time soon and still has a strong case to take to the Convention for gaining the nomination.
While her efforts to push this envelope to its limits will most likely fail even taking it all the way to the Convention, which I still believe is her intention, Clinton has little chance of getting the nomination because of the popularity and Rock Star status that Obama has in the party and the press.
In a head to head race between Obama and McCain polls show that the race is basically a dead heat but when the Electoral count is added to the picture the out look for McCain improves greatly. In a State by State break down of Electoral votes McCain holds a 285 to 242 lead over Obama with eleven tied. 270 are needed to win the White House and even with the 11 slated as a tie McCain has 15 more than the 270 needed to secure the Presidency.
With the election still several months away these numbers of course can change dramatically but with the controversy and lack of substance that Barack Obama has displayed thus far and the ever increasing scrutiny that will accompany him as he gains the nomination, I believe that these numbers will not only hold but have a very good possibility of increasing in favor of John McCain.
Obama rise to stardom in political circles has come through the Primaries where voters are voting according to part affiliation as they choose the nominee for the race toward the General Election. These voters are biased toward a certain political philosophy with most leaning liberal when it concerns the vote for the Democrat nominee.
In the General Election and the numbers of likely voters for that election Obama's Rock Star status fades considerably against John McCain. Which is why usually strong Democrat States like New Hampshire, Michigan and Wisconsin which were all blue States in 2004 are either undecided or leaning Republican.
Also as the graphic that is linked to above shows even California with Barack Obama as the Democrat nominee shows only a 7% difference in favor of Obama which may very well put the 54 Electoral votes for this State into play in a McCain/Obama match up.
He may be a rock Star to liberal Democrats and the media but as a candidate Barack Obama is very weak, inexperienced and has a great deal of vulnerabilities that will come back to haunt him as the nominee and the General Election against an experienced candidate like John McCain who has already passed the scrutiny test in previous elections.
Ken Taylor
Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota are the only remaining Primary States but Hillary is still banking on the meeting taking place on May 31 when the DNC will decide the fate of the Florida and Michigan delegations and whether they will be seated at the Convention. She gave no indication that she has any intention of bowing out any time soon and still has a strong case to take to the Convention for gaining the nomination.
While her efforts to push this envelope to its limits will most likely fail even taking it all the way to the Convention, which I still believe is her intention, Clinton has little chance of getting the nomination because of the popularity and Rock Star status that Obama has in the party and the press.
In a head to head race between Obama and McCain polls show that the race is basically a dead heat but when the Electoral count is added to the picture the out look for McCain improves greatly. In a State by State break down of Electoral votes McCain holds a 285 to 242 lead over Obama with eleven tied. 270 are needed to win the White House and even with the 11 slated as a tie McCain has 15 more than the 270 needed to secure the Presidency.
With the election still several months away these numbers of course can change dramatically but with the controversy and lack of substance that Barack Obama has displayed thus far and the ever increasing scrutiny that will accompany him as he gains the nomination, I believe that these numbers will not only hold but have a very good possibility of increasing in favor of John McCain.
Obama rise to stardom in political circles has come through the Primaries where voters are voting according to part affiliation as they choose the nominee for the race toward the General Election. These voters are biased toward a certain political philosophy with most leaning liberal when it concerns the vote for the Democrat nominee.
In the General Election and the numbers of likely voters for that election Obama's Rock Star status fades considerably against John McCain. Which is why usually strong Democrat States like New Hampshire, Michigan and Wisconsin which were all blue States in 2004 are either undecided or leaning Republican.
Also as the graphic that is linked to above shows even California with Barack Obama as the Democrat nominee shows only a 7% difference in favor of Obama which may very well put the 54 Electoral votes for this State into play in a McCain/Obama match up.
He may be a rock Star to liberal Democrats and the media but as a candidate Barack Obama is very weak, inexperienced and has a great deal of vulnerabilities that will come back to haunt him as the nominee and the General Election against an experienced candidate like John McCain who has already passed the scrutiny test in previous elections.
Ken Taylor
posted by The Liberal Lie The Conservative Truth | 11:04 AM
5 Comments:
It's going to be a great election! I'm pulling for him!!
Polls show that Clinton would beat McCain by 9%.
Obama would lose to McCain by 4%. And that was before Obama's sexist Detroit remark, and being caught lying about taking big oil money.
Obama is not electable.
If the primaries were all held today, knowning what we now know about Obama, he would be creamed.
Obama has not won the vital swing states... he has only won in states where a large black population has, in what appears to be a very racist movement, voted entiredly for him giving him a slim margin of victory, or in states that will go gop in Nov, and a few very liberal states that will go Dem no matter what in Nov.
Clinton has the middle ground. She has creamed Obama in the swing states. She will pick up indpendants and gop votes.
Obama is radical left. Independants will figure that out..and not vote for him.
Obama is sexist... women will figure that out and not vote for him.
Obama is a bigot.. the workding class has that figured out and will not vote for him.
Obama is a racist...non racists americans won't vote for Obama.
All Obama has are the radical left wing of the Dem party, the black vote, and the naive dem youth vote and they may clue in before Nov.
Obama is pro free trade
Obama is pro North American integration
Obama is pro amnesty
Obama is pro replacing the dollar with the Amero
Obama is pro the dissolution of the USA into a North American Union
Obama is pro outsourcing USA jobs
Obama is pro reducing Americans wages with illegal labor.
Obama is pro making the USA Spanish speaking
Obama is sexist. Check the youtube video
Obama is sexist. Check the NH debate
Obama is sexist. Check Geraldine Ferraro
Obama is racist. Check rev Wrigt
Obama is racist. Check his books
Obama is racist. Check his wife's thesis
Obama is a bigot. He snears at the working class
Obama is a bigot. He snears at gun owners
Obams is a bigot. He snears at people with religion
Obama has split the Dem Party with his bigoted, sexist, racist remarks.
Obama has no legislative accomplishments.
Obama only voted about 50% of the time..he was absent or voted no decision the rest of the time.
Obama is a liar. He lied about his Nafta intentions
Obama is a liar. He lied about taking big oil money
Obama is a liar. He lied about campaigning in FL
Obama is an arrogant snot. If nominated, a large segment of the Dem Party will either vote republican, or write in a vote, or sit out the election. No way they will vote for the bigoted, racist, sexist Obama.
Obama's latest farce? On May 19, 2008 he tells people in OR that Iran has never posed a threat to the USA. On May 20, 2008 he told people in Montana that he has always insisted that Iran poses a serious threat to the USA.
The man is con artist.
Obama is not electable.
I think you beleive that if you keep saying those lies about him they will become true. How is it that you know all these things about him and Hillary hasn't pointed out any of them?
Actually you are a lot like me and like to vent before you think. CNN is so pro Hillary (except Jack) it isn't funny have you ever heard them going like you? No, you know why? Because it's all BS.
If I were you I would be most worried about someone pulling a James Earl Rae on his butt and tearing your whole country to pieces just because of the old school thinking of Hillary.
All MLK wanted was equality among races for all americans. Do you think the rednecks in WV or Kentucky have changed so much? They would rather see another 4000 americans killed in Iraq than have a black man in the White House. Hillary wouldn't would smile at Obamas death and use it against you to get elected. I would be afraid buddy be very afraid because if anything happens to Senator Obama it's all over.
Ken: Thanks for the link to the maps. I used to work on those things in the White House in the old days when we had to color in xeroxed maps with pencils. It's much better this way.
"..He may be a rock Star to liberal Democrats and the media but as a candidate Barack Obama is very weak, inexperienced.."
..perhaps, but he has attracted new voters and outraised McCain
$264M to $88M, all individual donors, no PACs. Now, if BettyBB is correct that Obama will force us to speak Spanish...que pasa? :)
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