DEMOCRATS CLAIM MID TERM RACES TIGHTENING, POLLS SHOW DIFFERENT
In articles written from the New York Times all the way to the left coasts LA Times as well as many liberal pundits, Democrats are trying to claim the GOP has already peaked and the mid term races are closer than previously thought. In fact many of the stories and pundits are now saying that Democrats will not lose the House. Yet the polls say otherwise.
As stories of the Democrat revival were hitting the papers and the airways, Gallup, a more left leaning poll released there latest generic ballot and it is devastating news for Democrats. According to the poll no matter what the turn out the GOP has a substantial lead with likely voters for the mid term. A higher turn out favors the GOP by 13 points, 53 - 40 with a lower turn out favoring the GOP by 18 points, 56 - 38.
So even if the scramble by Obama in trying to, "energize," Democrats by November is successful, according to Gallup Republicans would still rule the day and rather decisively. This poll was joined by other bad news for Democrats as the latest polling in Nevada has Sharron Angle who had been in a continual tie with Harry Reid since winning the GOP primary has now pulled ahead of Reid by three points.
Angle has also received the endorsement of Nevada's largest newspaper, The Las Vegas Review-Journal, which has endorsed Reid in past elections. The paper not only endorsed Angle but pounded Reid for ,"hitching," onto Obama's ,"failed economic policies, " while praising Angle for her limited government stance compared to Reid's big spending and partisan bickering.
Other polls show Dino Rossi pulling ahead of Democrat Senator Pat Murray of Washington in another hotly contested race that was in the toss up category and needed for the GOP to take control of the Senate. Both the Nevada and Washington Senate races were thought to be tight enough that Democrats would likely retain the seats with many pollsters ruling them out for a GOP majority possibility. Now with less than four weeks before the election and both Republicans pulling ahead Nevada and Washington are looking very good for Republicans and a Senate majority. Adding to Democrat woes is West Virginia and the seat left vacant by the passing of Robert Byrd, moving from the toss up category to a five point lead by Republican John Raese
Barack Obama's recent trip to Wisconsin to, "energize," voters there for Democrat Russ Feingold has also failed as polling shows the liberal Senator losing ground after Obama's visit and his double digit deficit with Republican challenger Ron Johnson as being an insurmountable task to overcome. Obama's get out the vote tour has been falling on deaf ears with Democrats as the energy of Republicans has increased.
Another damaging problem for Democrats are Independents who came out in great numbers for Obama in 2008. Polling shows that Independents are favoring Republicans across the board by a huge 55%. So even if Obama manages to get Democrats to the polls which is seeming less and less likely, the loss of Independents to Republicans makes a Democrat win in November even less likely.
Spin as they may, Democrats are in deep trouble and that trouble is increasing the closer November second comes. Although the deception and dirty politics campaign by the left is now in full swing and will get much more intense in the next few weeks, we cannot sit back on our laurels thinking that the election is in the bag because the polls favor Republicans and a huge Democrat loss. We must fight and get out the vote keeping the energy going and charged until the last poll closes and the last vote is counted! Then continue the fight to victory in 2012.
Ken Taylor
As stories of the Democrat revival were hitting the papers and the airways, Gallup, a more left leaning poll released there latest generic ballot and it is devastating news for Democrats. According to the poll no matter what the turn out the GOP has a substantial lead with likely voters for the mid term. A higher turn out favors the GOP by 13 points, 53 - 40 with a lower turn out favoring the GOP by 18 points, 56 - 38.
So even if the scramble by Obama in trying to, "energize," Democrats by November is successful, according to Gallup Republicans would still rule the day and rather decisively. This poll was joined by other bad news for Democrats as the latest polling in Nevada has Sharron Angle who had been in a continual tie with Harry Reid since winning the GOP primary has now pulled ahead of Reid by three points.
Angle has also received the endorsement of Nevada's largest newspaper, The Las Vegas Review-Journal, which has endorsed Reid in past elections. The paper not only endorsed Angle but pounded Reid for ,"hitching," onto Obama's ,"failed economic policies, " while praising Angle for her limited government stance compared to Reid's big spending and partisan bickering.
Other polls show Dino Rossi pulling ahead of Democrat Senator Pat Murray of Washington in another hotly contested race that was in the toss up category and needed for the GOP to take control of the Senate. Both the Nevada and Washington Senate races were thought to be tight enough that Democrats would likely retain the seats with many pollsters ruling them out for a GOP majority possibility. Now with less than four weeks before the election and both Republicans pulling ahead Nevada and Washington are looking very good for Republicans and a Senate majority. Adding to Democrat woes is West Virginia and the seat left vacant by the passing of Robert Byrd, moving from the toss up category to a five point lead by Republican John Raese
Barack Obama's recent trip to Wisconsin to, "energize," voters there for Democrat Russ Feingold has also failed as polling shows the liberal Senator losing ground after Obama's visit and his double digit deficit with Republican challenger Ron Johnson as being an insurmountable task to overcome. Obama's get out the vote tour has been falling on deaf ears with Democrats as the energy of Republicans has increased.
Another damaging problem for Democrats are Independents who came out in great numbers for Obama in 2008. Polling shows that Independents are favoring Republicans across the board by a huge 55%. So even if Obama manages to get Democrats to the polls which is seeming less and less likely, the loss of Independents to Republicans makes a Democrat win in November even less likely.
Spin as they may, Democrats are in deep trouble and that trouble is increasing the closer November second comes. Although the deception and dirty politics campaign by the left is now in full swing and will get much more intense in the next few weeks, we cannot sit back on our laurels thinking that the election is in the bag because the polls favor Republicans and a huge Democrat loss. We must fight and get out the vote keeping the energy going and charged until the last poll closes and the last vote is counted! Then continue the fight to victory in 2012.
Ken Taylor
1 Comments:
I did notice that after the New York Times put out the word that Democrats were surging that the Politico followed suit with a story of their own.
And as you say Ken, there just isn't any hard data to back it up.
I do expect the races to tighten as undecideds make up their minds, but I don't see any overall change in the underlying dynamic of the race.
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