JOHN MCCAIN LEADS BARACK OBAMA BY 10
The latest USA Today/Gallup poll shows a dramatic shift giving John McCain a 10 point lead 54% - 44% over Barack Obama with those considered most likely to vote. Among registered voters McCain has a 4 point lead 50% - 46% over Obama.
While polls do not necessarily show the final out come of an election this shift is significant in the fact that it has given McCain a 17 point bounce from the RNC Convention with likely voters and an 11 point bounce with registered voters. Large post Convention bounces like this are unheard of in modern politics.
The most significant change in the polling comes from the economy. The Obama campaign has been using Obama's 19 point lead in the economy as a defense when asked why the Democrat has not been able to gain more than a tie or a three to four point lead in polling prior to the RNC Convention.
Stating that the economy is the key issue with voters Obama has used the 19 point lead as a benchmark for his campaign. The latest poll shows a 16 point drop for Obama to only a 3 point lead on the economy which puts it within the margin of error or a statistical tie. John McCain and Governor Palin have convinced voters that the Republican plan is more in line with the way the American people feel about the economy especially when it comes to energy and drilling for oil which Democrats are ardently opposed.
Of course now the Obama campaign who has been leaning heavily on the economic numbers say that those numbers do not matter. A sure sign that this reversal has them extremely flustered.
The choice of Governor Palin as McCain's running mate also shows very significant numbers as 29% of those polled say that they are more likely to vote for McCain because of his selection of Palin as VP. Joe Biden had a 14 point most likely rating for Obama after his selection.
Also in Republican ranks enthusiasm for the GOP ticket went from 47% favorable and 39% unfavorable to a whopping 60% favorable and 24% unfavorable.
How long these numbers hold up or how strong they are remains to be seen over the next week or so. Suffice it to say that the record setting television numbers for the RNC Convention have now been backed up by polling numbers that show that the McCain/Palin ticket is in a much better position going into the final weeks of the election and now has the advantage in 2008.
Ken Taylor
While polls do not necessarily show the final out come of an election this shift is significant in the fact that it has given McCain a 17 point bounce from the RNC Convention with likely voters and an 11 point bounce with registered voters. Large post Convention bounces like this are unheard of in modern politics.
The most significant change in the polling comes from the economy. The Obama campaign has been using Obama's 19 point lead in the economy as a defense when asked why the Democrat has not been able to gain more than a tie or a three to four point lead in polling prior to the RNC Convention.
Stating that the economy is the key issue with voters Obama has used the 19 point lead as a benchmark for his campaign. The latest poll shows a 16 point drop for Obama to only a 3 point lead on the economy which puts it within the margin of error or a statistical tie. John McCain and Governor Palin have convinced voters that the Republican plan is more in line with the way the American people feel about the economy especially when it comes to energy and drilling for oil which Democrats are ardently opposed.
Of course now the Obama campaign who has been leaning heavily on the economic numbers say that those numbers do not matter. A sure sign that this reversal has them extremely flustered.
The choice of Governor Palin as McCain's running mate also shows very significant numbers as 29% of those polled say that they are more likely to vote for McCain because of his selection of Palin as VP. Joe Biden had a 14 point most likely rating for Obama after his selection.
Also in Republican ranks enthusiasm for the GOP ticket went from 47% favorable and 39% unfavorable to a whopping 60% favorable and 24% unfavorable.
How long these numbers hold up or how strong they are remains to be seen over the next week or so. Suffice it to say that the record setting television numbers for the RNC Convention have now been backed up by polling numbers that show that the McCain/Palin ticket is in a much better position going into the final weeks of the election and now has the advantage in 2008.
Ken Taylor
3 Comments:
Wooooooooooo Hoooooooooo!!!!
Stop misleading American people with your bias polls that changes every seconds....
Anonymous, Google USa Today/Gallup and see for yourself. This is not bias nor misleading but actual polling.
In fact to save you the time here is the link for the story and the poll. http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-09-07-poll_N.htm
Marie, I totally agree!!!!!!!!
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