The Liberal Lie, The Conservative Truth

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HISTORICAL QUOTE OF THE WEEK - "Always bear in mind that your own resolution to succeed is more important than any other." ABRAHAM LINCOLN

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

WHY HILLARY WON'T GO AWAY

Over the past several weeks as Tuesday turned into Wednesday the political pundits have either written the epitaph for Hillary Clinton or called her the , "Comeback Kid, " and stated that she still has a chance at the nomination. All depending upon her showing as the Democrats have yet another Super Tuesday adding to the long list of such Tuesdays in this never ending Primary Season.

While Barack Obama has a the lead in delegates and will most likely get the nomination, Clinton has very good reason to hang on until the Convention and push for the nomination at the liberal love fest in Denver at the end of August.

The West Virginia Primary is a prime example as to why she has good reason to hang on. In every category she won the vote in a State that mirrors much of the Democrat voter make up. Even in Primaries where she has lost to Obama, Hillary has won the church vote, the gun owner vote, the white male and female vote and the Independent vote.

Obama has had almost no success in winning both middle America and the large States like California, New York and New Jersey. Much of his following in the large crowds that gather at his campaign rallies are young people who historically may cheer for a candidate at a rally but when it comes time to vote never show up at the polls in large enough numbers to matter.

In the last several elections the MTV get out the vote efforts have fallen flat despite the huge advertising and foot soldier work done by the video television channel. While the numbers have always looked good in registering the youth vote those who actually went to the polls and cast a ballot were small in comparison.

While the Super Delegates are claiming to back Obama now because of his lead in the popular vote and the popular vote delegate count, these party faithfuls and liberal politicians do not have to vote or commit until the Convention. If they see that Obama is showing weak entering the Convention regardless of his popular lead they may very well abandon the Illinois Senator in order to nominate the candidate who they feel will give the DNC the best chance of winning in November.

Hillary has shown in the Primaries that the core of Democrat voters that have carried Democrats in a General Election are much more in her camp than they are in Obama's. Though the DNC may stand behind the candidate in the lead going into the Convention as they should, their instinct for winning may very well switch their vote to Clinton because she has shown she can deliver more for November than Obama.

Clinton has been around to long to not realize how the back room dealing and shady politics in Democrat circles works and as such her strong showing in almost every category of core Democrat voters will keep her in the race regardless of pressure from leaders in the party, Obama's numbers, earthquakes, floods and pestilence.

She sees an opportunity to snatch victory from defeat and will be around until the fat lady sings at the final ballot and the final vote count in the war that will explode during the last week of August in Denver, Colorado at the Democrat National Convention!

Ken Taylor

9 Comments:

Blogger Concerned Citizen said...

WHY HILLARY WON'T GO AWAY...

Cause right now she keeps winning and thinking she can sway the Super Delegates...

Maybe she can, who knows.

What do you think about Bob Barr announcing? A Libertarian candidate in this polarized political environment could gain some traction. Not enough to win, mind you, but enough to change the landscape in November.

11:32 AM, May 14, 2008  
Blogger Rob said...

Jeez Ken, you listen to too much Rush. There is not going to be a floor fight (as I have been saying for months). I cannot believe you actually think she has any chance of winning the nomination - IT IS OVER!

Obama and Clinton will split the remaining 5-6 contests, nothing will change and Obama will have more pledged delegates, superdelegates, popular vote, and states won. In June, when all the contests are done, Hillary will step aside.

It is quite simple why she is staying in the race. Her campaign is $20 million in debt (at least), and the Clintons are on the hook for at least $11.4 million of it. If she quits she will have to pay that out of pocket. If she stays in, picks off a couple of states, and makes it seem like she still has a chance, she will continue to raise some money. She'll do that and cut down her expenses so that she can trim some of that debt.

The "MTV crowd" discussion misses the key fact that the record new voter registrations are also matched by the record young turnout in the also record primary/caucus turnouts. That means the millions of new younger voters who have joined the Dem Party are voting. They are energized and there is no reason to believe they will not turn out in November.

If you want to discount the record numbers of youth voters who are engaged in the primaries, that is up to you. But, don't be surprised when they end up being a decisive group that sweeps dozens of Republicans out of Congress and Obama to the White House.

12:13 PM, May 14, 2008  
Anonymous D.S.Harford said...

I can't remember being so tired of reading and hearing about the current candidates for President.
Fi Fy And Fo. The only real difference is with the Libertarians.
Obama, Hillary, McCain, what difference is there? Same crap different delivery. They win we pay.

5:58 PM, May 14, 2008  
Blogger Mike's America said...

Rob is smoking something illegal if he thinks the youth vote will turn out. Even the Obama Girl, who made that stupid video, didn't bother to vote in the NY primary.

As for what Hillary is doing: who knows. Dick Morris says she is running for 2012. But doesn't her staying in risk alienating Dem primary voters who think she is damaging the party?

11:39 PM, May 15, 2008  
Blogger Rob said...

Two more things Mike is wrong about - I don't do drugs and the youth vote will turn out. They have turned out in record numbers in the primary, there is no reason to think they will just abandon their enthusiasm in the general.

Mike, if you know anything about primaries, it is that far FEWER voters come out for the primaries - that means that in the general there will be far MORE voters.

I already told you what Hillary is doing - staying in so she can retire some of her debt.

6:03 PM, May 16, 2008  
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